Browsing by Author "Noesslinger, T."

Monosomal karyotype (MK) is associated with an adverse prognosis in patients in acute myeloid leukemia (AML). This study analyzes the prognostic impact of MK in a cohort of primary, untreated patients with myelodysplastic syndromes (MDS). A total of 431 patients were extracted from an international database. To analyze whether MK is an independent prognostic marker in MDS, cytogenetic and clinical data were explored in uni- and multivariate models regarding overall survival (OS) as well as AML-free survival. In all, 204/431 (47.3%) patients with MK were identified. Regarding OS, MK was prognostically significant in patients with <= 4 abnormalities only. In highly complex karyotypes (>= 5 abnormalities), MK did not separate prognostic subgroups (median OS 4.9 months in MK+ vs 5.6 months in patients without MK, P = 0.832). Based on the number of abnormalities, MK-positive karyotypes (MK+) split into different prognostic subgroups (MK+ and 2 abnormalities: OS 13.4 months, MK+ and 3 abnormalities: 8.0 months, MK+ and 4 abnormalities: 7.9 months and MK+ and >= 5 abnormalities: 4.9 months; P < 0.01). In multivariate analyses, MK was not an independent prognostic factor. Our data support the hypothesis that a high number of complex abnormalities, associated with an instable clone, define the subgroup with the worst prognosis in MDS, independent of MK.

Patients and methods: In all, 897 patients with primary MDS treated with supportive care only were examined in a retrospective multicenter study. A Cox model was developed to determine the prognostic impact of age and gender on survival and to examine their modulating influence on IPSS results. Based on main effects and interactions of these variables, we established an individualized age- and gender-adapted scoring system to improve prognostication in MDS. Results: While the risk of a patient in the IPSS is best represented by the values 0 (low), +1 (intermediate-1), +2 (intermediate-2), and +3 (high), these values were found to vary between -1.9 and +3.5 in the same patients when including age and gender. Whereas in low-risk MDS, male patients were found to have a less favorable survival, a particularly high risk (+3.5) was found in younger (< 66 years) high-risk female patients. Conclusion: The inclusion of age and gender and their respective interactions contribute to improved and individualized prognostication in MDS.

Myelodysplastic syndromes (MDS) with del(5q) are considered to have a benign course of the disease. In order to address the issue of the propensity of those patients to progress to acute myeloid leukemia (AML), data on 381 untreated patients with MDS and del(5q) characterized by low or intermediate I International Prognostic Scoring System (IPSS) risk score were collected from nine centers and registries. Median survival of the entire group was 74 months. Transfusion-dependent patients had a median survival of 44 months vs 97 months for transfusion-independent patients (P<0.0001). Transfusion need at diagnosis was the most important patient characteristic for survival. Of the 381 patients, 48 (12.6%) progressed to AML. The cumulative progression rate calculated using the Kaplan-Meier method was 4.9% at 2 years and 17.6% at 5 years. Factors associated with the risk of AML transformation were high-risk World Health Organization adapted Prognostic Scoring System (WPSS) score, marrow blast count >5% and red-cell transfusion dependency at diagnosis. In conclusion, patients with MDS and del(5q) are facing a considerable risk of AML transformation. More detailed cytogenetic and molecular studies may help to identify the patients at risk of progression.